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Day Trading Forecast 2012 Q1

Options Trading — Thu, 19 Jan 2012 14:05:22 +0000

My day trading forecast for 2012 Q1 is shaping up based on early warning signs in the market. Low trading volume paired with all indexes creeping upwards is all too reminiscent of previous mini-crash setups. We’re already half way into the first month of Q1 and already we’re seeing patterns we don’t like. Low Volume Creep Omnious Sign for 2012 Day Trading Forecast We’ve seen this before. Market makers have the ability to slowly grind markets upward when there is light volume. Since the end of the year the dollar has weakened against some of the major forex pairs as professional traders inch the market upward. Meanwhile it is clear that volume has continued to slacken off despite the turn of the calendar year when market activity normally picks up. Personally I think more and more traders have turned to intraday volatility trading using binary options at non-US binary options brokers in order to grind out a high yield income in a flat market (read a free binary options trading course). House Grandstanding Back in Vogue Hurts Day Trading Prospects The second, and perhaps more ominous sign of dread for day trading in 2012, is the renewal of the debt [...]

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Fed POMO January 2012

Options Trading — Wed, 11 Jan 2012 18:49:00 +0000

The Fed POMO January 2012 schedule is out and is similar in size and scope to the November POMO schedule. The December POMO schedule was a bit of an abberation because of all the end of the year holidays. This marks the first installment of 2012 in the Operation Twist project begun by the Fed not long after the Jackson Hole meeting in August 2011. Quick Fed POMO Schedule Highlights It looks to me (similar to previous Operation Twist installments) that the big cash movement days will be negative days – namely those days where the Federal Reserve will be selling shorter term securities in fairly large quantities. Based on a quick review of the chart below I am seeing strong negative days on January 5th, 10th, 13th, 19th, and 30th. I’m making mental notes to myself that there is a fairly long gap between selling events toward the end of this current POMO schedule. Up days seem to be more likely (all else equal) on the strong /long treasury buy settlement dates. Based on the chart (and netting off any +/- of the sell days) it would appear the up days would likely be January 9th, 17th, 25th, and 31st. [...]

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Options Expiration Week

Options Trading — Mon, 12 Dec 2011 18:57:35 +0000

Here we are at another quarterly options expiration week, and like any good options expiration week Monday morning brought high volatility and with it the DIA and S&P 500 tanking. We aren’t at the end of the trading day yet however I think we can speak with some level of certainty that we’re likely to see wild swings all week. Headlines were saying that traders were unhappy with the Eurozone deal but in all seriousness what did they expect? The Eurozone is messed up pretty badly not unlike the way some US state governments are messed up budget-wise. The difference being I suppose that our government (at least until the 2013 Congress takes office) is likely to be less stingy than their Eurozone counter-parts (to the extent such a body exists). What to Be Thankful for in 2012 Well I suppose the biggest non-event of the year was the end of quantitative easing in July. Although the market had swings up and down, the end of QE2 had very little to do with the most negative dips. You can thank the idiot Republicans in the House for that – their self-righteous grandstanding not only cost the US a credit down-grade [...]

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Fed POMO Schedule December 2011

Options Trading — Wed, 07 Dec 2011 16:12:37 +0000

Well here we are – last month of the year and the Fed POMO Schedule for December 2011 is here. It’s been a remarkable year for the Fed with literally trillions of Treasury debt on their books. Today’s release includes (as anticipated) an additional $8 billion in asset sales tacked on from the POMO operation which was canceled near the end of the November 2011 POMO schedule. This round of POMO operations is the next installment of Operation Twist – a combination of buying longer dated Treasuries and selling off shorter dated Treasuries from the Fed’s portfolio accumulated in earlier rounds of Quantitative Easing. As we look at this round of Operation Twist, we see the major purchases / cash injections occuring on / settling on December 6th ,16th, 19th, and 23rd with large sales / cash reductions settling December 5th, 9th, 15th, 22nd,and 29th. Be very wary of trading activity on December 22nd. The Fed has scheduled two $8 billion cash reductions that day – the largest draw-down I can recall in a single day. I imagine there will be some significant cash-raising activity at the Primary Dealers in order to fund those Treasury purchases (Fed asset sales). (Source: Federal Reserve) Across all operations [...]

Fed POMO Schedule December 2011 is a post from: Make $300 a Day

Forex Day Trading Signal Service Sees a Market Drop

Options Trading — Wed, 23 Nov 2011 21:12:12 +0000

So it was all of 5 days ago a forex day trading signal service I use foresaw a number of forces aligning to predict a strengthening USD and as a result falling stock prices. Here we are all of 5 days later and the DJIA is sitting nearly 600 points lower. I am a happy man this afternoon. What Was Evident 5 Days Ago That Brought About a Stock Market Drop? I don’t honestly have access to the internal workings of the machine that produces the forex day trading signal market calls but suffice to say I read the signals and drew my own conclusions from them. I had initially warded off US residents from subscribing to the service given it is designed for a particular type of trading not allowed in the US but the SIGNALS themselves (not necessarily the trading platform itself) have already proven themselves incredibly valuable to those versed in markets and day trading. What the signals called for were for effectively long positions on the USD against a couple of key currencies in addition to a couple of calls in the futures markets which led me to conclude that the forex day trading signal service [...]

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Daily Trading Signals Special Offer

Options Trading — Mon, 14 Nov 2011 14:27:20 +0000

As you may know I have been on the lookout for daily trading signals services which my readers would find helpful. I can report that finally (at least for my non-US readers) I have found just such a service. It involves a special kind of trading not available in the US and relies on using market indicators to trade in an extremely disciplined / weekly pre-determined (with daily adjustments) trading plan. I have read and evaluated the trading signals program and am fortunate to be able to make my readers a special offer this month only. ***The trial offer has ended***Premium subscriptions still available No Cost Trial Daily Trading Signals For the month of November one of my new sponsors has authorized me to offer a special 30 day trial offer on their trading signals service. Try the service for a month (comes complete with a full and in-depth trading course) with the price of just your name and email address. There is no obligation, you don’t have to provide any financial information or credit card or anything other than your email address (so they know where to send the daily signals to). How Does the Trading Signals System Work [...]

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How to Find a Winning Stock Trading System

Options Trading — Thu, 10 Nov 2011 16:23:52 +0000

There is no magic solution that shows you how to find a winning stock trading system today, but there are a lot of ways to trade the market and the more you know the more likely you are to find success. Take a few moments with me and lets look at a few types of trading systems you should be familiar with if you intend to make money day trading. As many of you well know I tend to stay away from shorting strategies but certainly those can be rewarding as well. Let’s take a look at a few income generating strategies on the long-ish side in order of capital requirements. Hopefully somewhere within these assets you’ll be able to figure out how to find a winning stock trading system for your capital levels and income needs. (Non-US traders please check out this daily trading signals special offer). Low Capital Binary Options Trading I have to admit there is a reason binary options are listed first under assets to trade and it isn’t just because they’re accessible to low-capital traders. The reason binary options get listed first also has to to with of all the assets listed, they’re really the [...]

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FED POMO Schedule November 2011

Options Trading — Thu, 03 Nov 2011 13:51:37 +0000

The Fed has posted its POMO Schedule for Novemeber 2011 – operation twist continues as the Federal Reserve looks to push its portfolio duration further out the curve. Based on the chart below the most significant dates of monetary movement putting upward pressure on markets would appear to be November 7, 11, 16, 18, 23, and 29. Do be sure to remember that operation twist also has a sell side removing currency from the books as well on November 2, 17, and 22 (extremely heavy take-in of cash), and Dec 1st. Trading is expected to be very choppy in November, similar to October. Volatility indicators remain very high and as a result options trading premiums remain high as well. Better values may be found in binary options trading for those that prefer to be on the long side of trades. (Soure: FRBNY) Across all operations in the schedule listed below, the Desk plans to purchase approximately $45 billion and sell approximately $43 billion in Treasury securities over the month of November. purchase operations Operation Date1 Settlement Date Operation Type Maturity Range Expected Purchase Size November 3, 2011 November 4, 2011 Outright TIPS Purchases 01/15/2018 – 02/15/2041 $1.00 – $1.50 billion November 4, 2011 November [...]

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Riding Up the Euro Fix

Options Trading — Thu, 27 Oct 2011 19:40:54 +0000

Sponsored LinkSo were riding up the Euro fix today, with the EMU / ECB having successfully kicked the can a few months down the road. Have you noticed how hard Goldman Sachs stock is up today? Bank stocks – specifically those TBTF bank stocks have been granted an early Christmas present, and all markets are rising as a result. The Danger of Too Much Market Pessimism One of the dangers of being too pessimistic overall about the market is that individual sectors can drag down overall indexes. Case in point the Dow and the S&P 500 have been wrecked by the plunge of the banking sector. What we’re seeing today is a massive cover in the financial sector which is subsequently fueling short covering in the overall broader market (although my instincts tell me here there is some smart money buying a few puts here into the broader market rally)… heck, that’s what I’d be doing when the tide suddenly rises because some sector was caught too short. How Far Does the Rally Have to Go Obviously we’ve seen quite a lot in terms of overall gains today but when the smoke clears tomorrow will the financials continue their rout? [...]

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Binary Trading Puts

Options Trading — Tue, 25 Oct 2011 15:22:02 +0000

Are binary trading puts the right answer in today’s market? Given the recent runup in the major indexes it certainly begs the question as to whether the timing is right to add some binary trading puts to the portfolio. Market tops are always tough to call and hardly ever strongly defined by singular events like crashes. On the other hand there are many days near tops where the market retraces slightly or tests levels of resistance. When chartists manage to define some ranges and resistance levels there can be opportunities to make money with some binary puts. Have You Subscribed to Free Our E-Newsletter Yet? Get Trading Ideas Sent Right to Your Email Inbox as We Come Up With Them - Free!Also Don't Miss Out on the New Binary Options Trading Signals and Free Binary Options Trading Course How Binary Puts Work Binary puts make it easy for the day trader to make a quick trade on the market and maintain long equity positions while drawing in some income on short term pullbacks. Like any day trading strategy involving binary options there is plenty of risk however it can pay off better than simply standing pat waiting for the market [...]

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